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Dutch Lions vs Medina United

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Colley P.
45' Event
Colley P.
82' Event
Jallow C.

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Dutch Lions and Medina United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Medina United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dutch Lions
33%
Draws
40%
Medina United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Medina United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Medina United come out ahead of Dutch Lions on wins alone.
  • Model gives Medina United a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 15%
Medina United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dutch Lions Medina United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 GFA League
Medina United vs Dutch Lions
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 GFA League
Dutch Lions vs Medina United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dutch Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Jallow C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Medina United Compare

Top Goalscorer Colley P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dutch Lions 27 / 100
Medina United 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dutch Lions Medina United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MED Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medina United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dutch Lions found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Dutch Lions remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dutch Lions VS Medina United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Medina United30166834:2554
2Fortune301411533:2153
3Gambia Ports301211726:1847
4Bombada301111836:3244
5Brikama United301110937:3343
6Real Banjul30914730:2541
7BST Galaxy30912929:3239
8Hart Academy309111036:3438
9Team Rhino309101126:2937
10Falcons30714919:2435
11Dutch Lions307131033:3334
12Greater Tomorrow308101225:3534
13Hawks307121125:3133
14TMT307121120:2933
15Samger306141023:2732
16Steve Biko305151024:2830