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DVS '33 Ermelo vs Eemdijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
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AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between DVS '33 Ermelo and Eemdijk finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
DVS '33 Ermelo
15%
Draws
36%
Eemdijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: DVS '33 Ermelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eemdijk come out ahead of DVS '33 Ermelo on wins alone.
  • DVS '33 Ermelo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors DVS '33 Ermelo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 13%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DVS '33 Ermelo Eemdijk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Eemdijk
2:2
May 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:3
Dec 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Eemdijk
3:0
May 10, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Eemdijk
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs DVS '33 Ermelo
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DVS '33 Ermelo 48 / 100
Eemdijk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DVS '33 Ermelo Eemdijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DVS '33 Ermelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DVS '33 Ermelo scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Eemdijk has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Eemdijk lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

DVS '33 Ermelo VS Eemdijk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

DVS '33 Ermelo

(Home)
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1
HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4
DVS '33 Ermelo
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Eemdijk

(Away)
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2
Eemdijk
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1
Roosendaal
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)