Sport Picks
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Sparta Nijkerk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Sparta Nijkerk in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Nijkerk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sparta Nijkerk lately — more wins on the board than DVS '33 Ermelo.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Sparta Nijkerk taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DVS '33 Ermelo | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 2.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Sparta Nijkerk
1:3
May 9, 2026 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Sparta Nijkerk
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs DVS '33 Ermelo
3:0
Feb 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs DVS '33 Ermelo
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Sparta Nijkerk
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DVS '33 Ermelo 10 / 100
Sparta Nijkerk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DVS '33 Ermelo Sparta Nijkerk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: DVS '33 Ermelo scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Sparta Nijkerk conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: DVS '33 Ermelo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
DVS '33 Ermelo VS Sparta Nijkerk
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
DVS '33 Ermelo
(Home) 10 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Eemdijk
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Eemdijk
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 3
Sparta Nijkerk
(Away) 10 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 2 VV Scherpenzeel
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
30 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:19 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 6 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:28 | 4 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15:27 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:27 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 20 |
| 5 | VV Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 8 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15:21 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
