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DVS '33 Ermelo vs SVZW Wierden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo Logo

DVS '33 Ermelo

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
SVZW Wierden Logo

SVZW Wierden

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

DVS '33 Ermelo host SVZW Wierden in the Derde Divisie. DVS '33 Ermelo go into this one as the clear favorite. DVS '33 Ermelo have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against SVZW Wierden's 1.22 scored and 3.28 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.25 - 1.50) back DVS '33 Ermelo to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
DVS '33 Ermelo
15%
Draws
0%
SVZW Wierden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: DVS '33 Ermelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to DVS '33 Ermelo lately — more wins on the board than SVZW Wierden.
  • Model gives DVS '33 Ermelo a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 16%
SVZW Wierden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DVS '33 Ermelo SVZW Wierden
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 10 1
Draws 9 1
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.68 3.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DVS '33 Ermelo 39 / 100
SVZW Wierden 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DVS '33 Ermelo SVZW Wierden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DVS '33 Ermelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: DVS '33 Ermelo scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

SVZW Wierden let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.

Difficult form: SVZW Wierden registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

DVS '33 Ermelo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

DVS '33 Ermelo VS SVZW Wierden
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

DVS '33 Ermelo

(Home)
17 Oct
Staphorst
2 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
10 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2
Eemdijk
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 7

SVZW Wierden

(Away)
17 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 1
HVV Hollandia
10 Oct
TEC
1 : 0
SVZW Wierden
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
ACV Assen
4 : 0
SVZW Wierden
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)