Sport Picks

Stadium Background

DVS '33 Ermelo vs VV DOVO

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

DVS '33 Ermelo in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored DVS '33 Ermelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
DVS '33 Ermelo
20%
Draws
34%
VV DOVO
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: DVS '33 Ermelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VV DOVO lately — more wins on the board than DVS '33 Ermelo.
  • Win probability leans DVS '33 Ermelo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 11%
VV DOVO Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DVS '33 Ermelo VV DOVO
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs VV DOVO
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs VV DOVO
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs DVS '33 Ermelo
5:1
Apr 20, 2024 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs VV DOVO
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DVS '33 Ermelo 47 / 100
VV DOVO 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DVS '33 Ermelo VV DOVO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DVS '33 Ermelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DVS '33 Ermelo's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

VV DOVO's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: DVS '33 Ermelo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

DVS '33 Ermelo VS VV DOVO
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

DVS '33 Ermelo

(Home)
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1
HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4
DVS '33 Ermelo
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3
Sparta Nijkerk
02 Sept
ATC 65
1 : 2
DVS '33 Ermelo
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6

VV DOVO

(Away)
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0
VV DOVO
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4
VV Hoogeveen
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2
VV DOVO
02 Sept
Surhusterfean
1 : 2
VV DOVO
29 Aug
VV DOVO
2 : 3
VV Scherpenzeel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)