Sport Picks
Dynamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Regional Sport Complex Brestskiy, Brest 
Match Events
43'
43'
Vasilyev V.
45'
45'
Zenkov I.
Assist: Kortsov E.
46'
46'
Sub
Lutik D. In: Oreshkevich I.
Out: Lutik D.
AI Match Summary
The Vysshaya Liga game between Dynamo Brest and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dynamo Brest.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dynamo Brest
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dynamo Brest carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Dynamo Brest taking it.
- Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Dynamo Brest Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dynamo Brest | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
3:0
Aug 2, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Dynamo Brest
1:1
Feb 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Dynamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dynamo Brest Compare
Top Goalscorer Kortsov E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zenkov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dynamo Brest 95 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dynamo Brest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dynamo Brest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dynamo Brest found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Dynamo Brest remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dynamo Brest VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dynamo Brest
(Home) 20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1 Dynamo Brest
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0 BATE
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3 ML Vitebsk
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1 Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0 BATE
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3 ML Vitebsk
16 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 2 Isloch Minsk
02 Aug
Dynamo Brest
4 : 0 Belshina
Page 1 of 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
(Away) 18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0 FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4 Zhodino
22 Aug
Belshina
2 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
22 Aug
Belshina
2 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
07 Aug
Naftan
3 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch Minsk | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Din. Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37:16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38:23 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33:18 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 37 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:38 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 24:41 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:54 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)
