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Dynamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Regional Sport Complex Brestskiy
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Vasilyev V.
45' Event
Zenkov I.
Assist: Kortsov E.
46'
Sub
Lutik D. In: Oreshkevich I.
Out: Lutik D.

AI Match Summary

Dynamo Brest host Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in the Vysshaya Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dynamo Brest have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's 1.13 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Dynamo Brest have won 3 to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.13, favoring Dynamo Brest. Dynamo Brest in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dynamo Brest
44%
Draws
20%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Dynamo Brest has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Vysshaya Liga provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Dynamo Brest Clean Sheet 21%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Brest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
3:0
Aug 2, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Dynamo Brest
1:1
Feb 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Dynamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Kortsov E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zenkov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Brest 37 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Brest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Brest scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Dynamo Brest went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Brest VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1575321:1326
5Dynamo Brest1573524:1524
6Zhodino1565423:1323
7FC Minsk1564521:2022
8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1456318:1821
9Neman1563616:1521
10Vitebsk1445513:1617
11FK Baranovici1544715:2616
12Slavia Mozyr1536614:2215
13Dnepr Mogilev1525812:2211
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316