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Dynamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Regional Sport Complex Brestskiy, Brest
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Popovic Z.
26' Event
Kortsov E.
32'
Gnaka S.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Dynamo Brest and ML Vitebsk finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ML Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Dynamo Brest
30%
Draws
32%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dynamo Brest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Dynamo Brest have managed 1.69 goals a game lately — ML Vitebsk are scoring more at 2.
  • ML Vitebsk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Dynamo Brest Clean Sheet 14%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Brest ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.69 2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Dynamo Brest
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
ML Vitebsk vs Dynamo Brest
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Dynamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Dynamo Brest
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Kortsov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

ML Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Bosic R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gromyko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Brest 27 / 100
ML Vitebsk 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Brest ML Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dynamo Brest scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Dynamo Brest went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ML Vitebsk let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Brest VS ML Vitebsk
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Brest

(Home)
17 Oct
Dynamo Brest
2 : 2
FC Gomel
09 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
02 Oct
Neman
1 : 2
Dynamo Brest
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 6

ML Vitebsk

(Away)
15 Oct
ML Vitebsk
2 : 0
Zhodino
11 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 5
ML Vitebsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ML Vitebsk 24 15 8 1 50:18 53
2 Isloch Minsk 24 14 7 3 41:20 49
3 Din. Minsk 23 15 4 4 43:19 49
4 Dynamo Brest 25 13 5 7 41:25 44
5 Neman 25 13 4 8 31:21 43
6 Vitebsk 25 11 7 7 29:21 40
7 FC Gomel 25 11 7 7 36:25 40
8 FC Minsk 25 10 4 11 32:33 34
9 Zhodino 24 8 6 10 29:31 30
10 Slavia Mozyr 24 6 7 11 25:31 25
11 FK Baranovici 25 6 7 12 24:42 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 BATE 25 4 9 12 19:32 21
14 Belshina 23 5 6 12 23:40 21
15 Dnepr Mogilev 25 3 10 12 24:40 19
16 Naftan 24 4 5 15 24:55 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)