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Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2025/2026 VTB Arena, Moscow
Dynamo Moscow Logo

Dynamo Moscow

0 - 0
FT
Krasnodar Logo

Krasnodar

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Olaza L.
26'
Caceres J.
28'
Chernikov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Dynamo Moscow
15%
Draws
44%
Krasnodar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Krasnodar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Krasnodar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Dynamo Moscow taking it.
  • Krasnodar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dynamo Moscow, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 19%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Moscow Krasnodar
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.78 2.11
Goals Conceded 1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
0:1
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
2:1
May 7, 2026 Russian Cup
Krasnodar vs Dynamo Moscow
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
0:0
Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Moscow 58 / 100
Krasnodar 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Moscow Krasnodar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dynamo Moscow scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Dynamo Moscow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Krasnodar conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Moscow VS Krasnodar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Moscow

(Home)
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 1
Dynamo Moscow
23 Aug
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 1
Rodina Moscow
19 Aug
Dynamo Moscow
0 : 1
Krasnodar
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Krasnodar

(Away)
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2
Krasnodar
29 Aug
Krasnodar
1 : 0
FK Rostov
23 Aug
Dynamo Makhachkala
0 : 1
Krasnodar
19 Aug
Dynamo Moscow
0 : 1
Krasnodar
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zenit St Petersburg 2
Dynamo Moscow 3
Spartak Moscow 6
Lokomotiv Moscow 3
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
CSKA Moscow 3
Orenburg 1
Krasnodar 7
Semi-finals
Dynamo Moscow 5
Spartak Moscow 3
CSKA Moscow 3
Krasnodar 5
Final
Dynamo Moscow 0
Krasnodar 1