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Dynamo Moscow vs Spartak Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League VTB Arena, Moscow
Dynamo Moscow Logo

Dynamo Moscow

2 - 1
FT
Spartak Moscow Logo

Spartak Moscow

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Prutsev D.
Assist: Costa Martins J. M.
25' Event
Gladyshev Y.
34' Event
Arthur Gomes
Assist: Caceres J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dynamo Moscow in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dynamo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dynamo Moscow
15%
Draws
34%
Spartak Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Dynamo Moscow at 1.83 per game, Spartak Moscow at 1.66.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 19%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Moscow Spartak Moscow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Spartak Moscow
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 Russian Cup
Spartak Moscow vs Dynamo Moscow
1:0
Mar 5, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Spartak Moscow
5:2
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Dynamo Moscow
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Spartak Moscow
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Gladyshev Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arthur Gomes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Spartak Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Prutsev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Moscow 31 / 100
Spartak Moscow 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Moscow Spartak Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Dynamo Moscow remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Dynamo Moscow scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Spartak Moscow let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Moscow VS Spartak Moscow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
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Spartak Moscow

(Away)
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1
Rodina Moscow
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1
Orenburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
10 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
11 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
12 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
13 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)