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Dynamo Stavropol vs Irtysh Omsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver Essentuki Arena, Essentuki
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Kashtan N.
58' Event
Yagyaev M.
60'
Sub
Grigoryan Y. In: Tskhadiashvili V.
Out: Grigoryan Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Dynamo Stavropol
15%
Draws
28%
Irtysh Omsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Stavropol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dynamo Stavropol come out ahead of Irtysh Omsk on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Dynamo Stavropol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dynamo Stavropol, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dynamo Stavropol have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Dynamo Stavropol Clean Sheet 68%
Irtysh Omsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Stavropol Irtysh Omsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Irtysh Omsk vs Dynamo Stavropol
2:3
Oct 21, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Dynamo Stavropol vs Irtysh Omsk
2:1
Sep 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Irtysh Omsk vs Dynamo Stavropol
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Dynamo Stavropol vs Irtysh Omsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Stavropol Compare

Top Goalscorer Yagyaev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shilov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Irtysh Omsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Stavropol 41 / 100
Irtysh Omsk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Stavropol Irtysh Omsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Stavropol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irtysh Omsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Dynamo Stavropol scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Irtysh Omsk has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Stavropol VS Irtysh Omsk
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Stavropol

(Home)
21 Oct
Dynamo Stavropol
2 : 1
Irtysh Omsk
17 Oct
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg 2
14 Oct
Dynamo Moscow 2
2 : 3
Dynamo Stavropol
10 Oct
Torpedo Miass
1 : 0
Dynamo Stavropol
26 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
0 : 1
Amkar
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Irtysh Omsk

(Away)
21 Oct
Dynamo Stavropol
2 : 1
Irtysh Omsk
17 Oct
Amkar
4 : 1
Irtysh Omsk
10 Oct
Irtysh Omsk
1 : 2
Tyumen
27 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
4 : 0
Dynamo Moscow 2
19 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg 2
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dynamo Stavropol 5
Irtysh Omsk 3