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Dynamo Vladivostok vs Sakhalinets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Vasichenko R.
41'
Mashnev M.
46'
Sub
Mosiyan S. In: Alimov D.
Out: Mosiyan S.

AI Match Summary

Sakhalinets in this FNL 2 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sakhalinets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dynamo Vladivostok
30%
Draws
47%
Sakhalinets
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sakhalinets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sakhalinets have won more games recently than Dynamo Vladivostok.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sakhalinets have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dynamo Vladivostok Clean Sheet 19%
Sakhalinets Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Vladivostok Sakhalinets
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Dynamo Vladivostok
3:1
Jun 10, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Dynamo Vladivostok vs Sakhalinets
1:2
Apr 2, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Dynamo Vladivostok
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Vladivostok Compare

Top Goalscorer Baev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sakhalinets Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubtsov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gavrilov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Vladivostok 32 / 100
Sakhalinets 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Vladivostok Sakhalinets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakhalinets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sakhalinets has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Dynamo Vladivostok scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Dynamo Vladivostok went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Vladivostok VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Vladivostok

(Home)
27 Sept
D. Bryansk
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
20 Sept
Dynamo Vladivostok
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 2
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
06 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 0
Dynamo Vladivostok
30 Aug
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 0
Mashuk
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Sakhalinets

(Away)
12 Nov
Sakhalinets
2 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
05 Nov
Strogino Moscow
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
29 Oct
Sakhalinets
3 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
23 Oct
Ryazan
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
15 Oct
Sakhalinets
0 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saratov 22 15 1 6 29:17 46
2 D. Bryansk 22 11 5 6 25:12 38
3 Rodina Moscow 2 22 10 6 6 30:19 36
4 Salyut-Belgorod 22 10 5 7 33:19 35
5 Kursk 22 9 7 6 36:22 34
6 M. Lipetsk 22 10 4 8 29:30 34
7 Kaluga 22 10 3 9 28:33 33
8 Dynamo Vladivostok 22 7 5 10 22:29 26
9 Ryazan 22 6 7 9 20:30 25
10 Kosmos 22 6 4 12 27:27 22
11 Saturn Ramenskoye 22 5 5 12 25:44 20
12 Sakhalinets 22 5 4 13 20:42 19
Promotion - FNL 2023/2024 (Main)