Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Telsiai Central Stadium, Telsiai
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Vermeulen V.
Assist: Ankudinovas L.
26' Event
Sobowale R.
Assist: Zevzikovas D.
28'
Cisse I.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between Dziugas Telsiai and FK Panevezys finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dziugas Telsiai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Dziugas Telsiai
28%
Draws
22%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Dziugas Telsiai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dziugas Telsiai come out ahead of FK Panevezys on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dziugas Telsiai a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 68%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dziugas Telsiai FK Panevezys
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys
4:0
Apr 5, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Club Friendly
FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys
1:4
Aug 8, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Vermeulen V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sobowale R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FK Panevezys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dziugas Telsiai 59 / 100
FK Panevezys 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dziugas Telsiai FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DZI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dziugas Telsiai found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

FK Panevezys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Dziugas Telsiai has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dziugas Telsiai VS FK Panevezys
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dziugas Telsiai

(Home)
19 Jul
Dziugas Telsiai
1 : 0
Banga
03 Jul
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
28 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 0
Zalgiris
24 Jun
FA Siauliai
2 : 1
Dziugas Telsiai
21 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

FK Panevezys

(Away)
11 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FK Panevezys
04 Jul
FK Panevezys
1 : 1
FC Hegelmann
29 Jun
FK Panevezys
1 : 2
Suduva
23 Jun
FK Minija
2 : 1
FK Panevezys
20 Jun
FK Panevezys
3 : 2
FA Siauliai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Kauno Zalgiris2097438:1534
2Suduva2089326:1733
3Dziugas Telsiai2096529:2233
4Zalgiris2094730:2231
5Banga2086622:1530
6Transinvest2085729:2829
7FC Hegelmann20310721:3419
8FK Panevezys20541118:3719
9FA Siauliai20271118:4113
10Riteriai00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)