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Dziugas Telsiai vs FC Hegelmann - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Telsiai Central Stadium, Telsiai
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Vinckus D.
19'
Sub
Rutkovskis M. In: Scotto I. E.
Out: Rutkovskis M.
36'
Isaac B.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between Dziugas Telsiai and FC Hegelmann finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Dziugas Telsiai
35%
Draws
52%
FC Hegelmann
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Hegelmann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Hegelmann haven't matched Dziugas Telsiai's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FC Hegelmann a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 14%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dziugas Telsiai FC Hegelmann
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FC Hegelmann
2:2
Jun 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1
May 1, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FC Hegelmann
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Hegelmann vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinckus D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sobowale R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Tibell D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dziugas Telsiai 11 / 100
FC Hegelmann 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dziugas Telsiai FC Hegelmann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Hegelmann Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Dziugas Telsiai's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Dziugas Telsiai went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dziugas Telsiai VS FC Hegelmann
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dziugas Telsiai

(Home)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

FC Hegelmann

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 29 13 11 5 39:29 50
3 Zalgiris 29 14 5 10 45:34 47
4 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)