Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dziugas Telsiai vs Utenis

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2018
Dziugas Telsiai Logo

Dziugas Telsiai

1 - 0
FT
Utenis Logo

Utenis

Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Anisas B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dziugas Telsiai in this I Lyga 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dziugas Telsiai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Dziugas Telsiai
15%
Draws
64%
Utenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Dziugas Telsiai have won more games recently than Utenis.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Dziugas Telsiai taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 20%
Utenis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dziugas Telsiai Utenis
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2018 I Lyga
Dziugas Telsiai vs Utenis
1:0
Jun 24, 2018 I Lyga
Utenis vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Anisas B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Utenis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dziugas Telsiai 58 / 100
Utenis 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dziugas Telsiai Utenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dziugas Telsiai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Utenis conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Dziugas Telsiai scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Utenis lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dziugas Telsiai VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dziugas Telsiai

(Home)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 7

Utenis

(Away)
29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5
Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5
FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3
Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Panevezys 26 18 4 4 77:26 58
2 Dainava Alytus 26 17 6 3 59:22 57
3 Banga 26 18 0 8 51:24 54
4 Nevezis Kedainiai 26 16 5 5 63:31 53
5 Dziugas Telsiai 26 14 3 9 49:34 45
6 Vilniaus Vytis 26 13 5 8 67:44 44
7 FC Pakruojis 26 13 3 10 44:44 42
8 Utenis 26 12 5 9 46:33 41
9 FC Stumbras 2 26 10 6 10 42:37 36
10 BE1 NFA 26 8 3 15 44:45 27
11 Riteriai 2 26 7 5 14 39:59 26
12 Zalgiris 2 26 6 3 17 26:57 21
13 Kupiskis 26 4 2 20 46:91 14
14 Koralas Klaipeda 26 1 0 25 5:111 3
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2018 (Relegation - Play Offs)