Sport Picks

Stadium Background

East Belfast vs Islandmagee Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
16' Event
McNaul S.
19' Event
McNaul S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-1, with East Belfast advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
East Belfast
15%
Draws
85%
Islandmagee
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Islandmagee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Islandmagee carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Islandmagee are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Islandmagee arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor East Belfast, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
East Belfast Clean Sheet 13%
Islandmagee Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Belfast Islandmagee
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.91 2.66
Goals Conceded 2.68 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2019 Irish Cup
East Belfast vs Islandmagee
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Belfast Compare

Top Goalscorer McNaul S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gibson D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Islandmagee Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Belfast 22 / 100
Islandmagee 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Belfast Islandmagee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Islandmagee Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Islandmagee's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

East Belfast's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Islandmagee's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

East Belfast VS Islandmagee
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

East Belfast

(Home)
26 Jun
East Belfast
1 : 8
Glentoran
04 Jul
East Belfast
0 : 1
Glentoran
28 Jun
Crusaders
9 : 0
East Belfast
09 Jul
East Belfast
0 : 2
Glentoran
22 Jul
East Belfast
0 : 3
Glentoran
Page 1 of 5

Islandmagee

(Away)
30 Nov
Islandmagee
0 : 4
Ballymacash
08 Jan
Cliftonville
5 : 0
Islandmagee
27 Jul
Islandmagee
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
30 Nov
East Belfast
7 : 1
Islandmagee
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
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Dollingstown -
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Lower Maze -
Lisburn Distillery -
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Ballynahinch United -
Strabane Athletic -
Maiden City 3
Bourneview Mill 2
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Tullycarnet -
Armagh 7
Bangor Old Boys 0
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Dunloy 3
Warrenpoint -
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Ballymena -
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Tandragee -
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18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Comber Rec 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Dromara 3
Coagh Utd 6
Crumlin Star 8
Kilmore Rec 0
Desertmartin 1
Trojans 3
Greenisland -
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Bloomfield 1
Foundry 3
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart -
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Dromore Amateurs 1
Belfast Celtic 9
Woodvale 5
Windmill 1
Derriaghy 1
Annagh 4
Tobermore -
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Barn 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Suffolk 3
St Luke's 0
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Larne Technical Old Boys -
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 4
Grove 2
Dungiven 1
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 3
Rosemount Rec 2
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 4
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Iveagh Utd 1
Abbey Villa 1
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 3
St Oliver Plunkett 2
TBD -
Dunmurry Y.M. -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
St. Marys 1
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC -
Drumaness -
Newington FC 5
Cookstown Youth 0
Ardstraw 3
Fivemiletown 2
Ards Rangers 1
Wakehurst 3
Islandmagee -
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Shorts -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 3
Ballynure Old Boys 0
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Immaculata -
Aquinas -
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Seapatrick 0
Craigavon City 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Saintfield 0
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 2
Malachians 1
Markethill 1
Mossley FC 4
Cliftonville -
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Glebe 3
Cookstown RBL 2
Laurelvale 1
Chimney 5
Richhill -
Ballywalter Recreation -
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Valley Rangers -
Hanover -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Rosario Youth 0
Rectory Rangers 0
Downshire Y.M. 2
Loughgall -
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Brantwood -
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Colin Valley 0
Moyola 11
Crewe -
Donegal -
Bryansburn 1
Crumlin United 3
Shankill -
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Lisburn Rangers -
Rathfriland Rangers -
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Sirocco 2
Seagoe 3
Queens University -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
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Dundela -
1/128-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
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Dollingstown 5
Lower Maze 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Strabane Athletic 2
Maiden City 1
Tullycarnet 3
Armagh 2
Dunloy 1
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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Tandragee 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 7
Comber Rec 2
Coagh Utd 4
Crumlin Star -
Trojans -
Greenisland 2
Foundry 0
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Woodvale 1
Annagh 7
Tobermore 7
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Suffolk 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 4
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 0
Banbridge 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Newbuildings 2
Lurgan Town Boys 0
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 2
Dunmurry Y.M. 1
Ballymoney 2
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC 0
Newington FC 2
Ardstraw 4
Wakehurst 1
Islandmagee 5
Shorts 2
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 2
Immaculata 0
Aquinas 2
Craigavon City 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 9
Mossley FC 0
Cliftonville -
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Glebe 1
Chimney 2
Richhill 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover -
Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 4
Moyola 3
Crewe 3
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 1
Lisburn Rangers 4
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Seagoe 2
Queens University -
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Linfield -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/64-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
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Dollingstown 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tullycarnet 4
Armagh 3
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Coagh Utd 3
Crumlin Star 1
Greenisland 0
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Belfast Celtic 3
Annagh 1
Tobermore 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymacash 4
East Belfast 3
Newington FC 0
Ardstraw 1
Islandmagee 2
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 3
Aquinas 0
Bangor FC 5
Moneyslane FC 1
Cliftonville -
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Chimney 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 1
Crumlin United 0
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Queens University -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/32-finals
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Dollingstown 6
Tullycarnet 0
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 0
Crumlin Star 1
Ballyclare -
TBD -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
TBD -
Belfast Celtic 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Banbridge 3
Ballymacash 2
East Belfast 7
Islandmagee 1
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
Limavady 1
Bangor FC 3
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Valley Rangers 1
Hanover 5
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Queens University -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
TBD -
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Dundela -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 3
Dergview 2
Ballinamallard 1
Dollingstown 0
Warrenpoint 3
PSNI 1
Ballymena 2
Crumlin Star 0
Ballyclare 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 8
Belfast Celtic 0
Glenavon 0
Coleraine 2
Banbridge 3
East Belfast 2
Institute 2
Dungannon 3
Newry City 3
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 6
Hanover 0
Loughgall 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Queens University 2
Linfield 1
Glentoran 3
Portadown 2
Ards 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Crusaders 3
Dundela 0
1/8-finals
Knockbreda 2
Ballinamallard 5
Warrenpoint 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Larne 1
Coleraine 3
Banbridge 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Cliftonville 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Queens University 2
Glentoran 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Crusaders 5
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 0
Ballymena 2
Larne 2
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 2
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Semi-finals
Ballymena 2
Coleraine 1
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 2
Final
Ballymena 1
Glentoran 2