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East Belfast vs Newtowne FC

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-5, with Newtowne FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
East Belfast
6%
Draws
90%
Newtowne FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Newtowne FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newtowne FC come out ahead of East Belfast on wins alone.
  • Model gives Newtowne FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Newtowne FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Newtowne FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
East Belfast Clean Sheet 12%
Newtowne FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Belfast Newtowne FC
Matches Played 22 16
Wins 8 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 2.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2014 Irish Cup
East Belfast vs Newtowne FC
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Belfast 10 / 100
Newtowne FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Belfast Newtowne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newtowne FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 15 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: East Belfast scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

Away concern: Newtowne FC has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

East Belfast VS Newtowne FC
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

East Belfast

(Home)
26 Jun
East Belfast
1 : 8
Glentoran
04 Jul
East Belfast
0 : 1
Glentoran
28 Jun
Crusaders
9 : 0
East Belfast
09 Jul
East Belfast
0 : 2
Glentoran
22 Jul
East Belfast
0 : 3
Glentoran
Page 1 of 5

Newtowne FC

(Away)
28 Sept
Newtowne FC
0 : 2
Newington FC
17 Aug
Newtowne FC
:
Drumaness
03 Nov
Newtowne FC
1 : 2
Rosemount Rec
29 Sept
Newtowne FC
1 : 0
Ballynahinch Olympic
18 Aug
Newtowne FC
6 : 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Brantwood2
Drumaness1
TBD-
Coagh Utd-
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tandragee2
Banbridge Rangers0
TBD-
Loughgall-
Larne-
TBD-
TBD-
Dergview-
Foundry6
St. Marys1
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Glentoran-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Banbridge-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Newtowne FC5
East Belfast3
U. U. Jordanstown0
Crumlin United3
Shankill2
Abbey Villa1
TBD-
Armagh-
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
Donegal-
Bangor Old Boys2
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Annagh-
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Dollingstown-
Wakehurst-
TBD-
Oxford Stars2
Derriaghy4
Moyola-
TBD-
TBD-
Glebe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sport & Leisure-
TBD-
Lisburn Rangers2
Ards Rangers7
Crumlin Star2
Immaculata0
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymena-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
PSNI-
Dundela-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymoney-
Newry City4
Hanover0
TBD-
Portstewart-
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Tobermore-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Linfield-
1/32-finals
Crusaders-
TBD-
Queens University2
Newington FC3
Brantwood2
Coagh Utd0
Lurgan Celtic1
Bangor FC2
Institute-
TBD-
Tandragee2
Loughgall6
Larne1
Dergview0
Foundry1
Carrick Rangers4
Glentoran-
TBD-
Banbridge1
Ards4
Newtowne FC4
Crumlin United1
Shankill0
Armagh2
Ballyclare3
Donegal2
Bangor Old Boys0
Annagh3
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Harland & Wolff2
Dollingstown0
Wakehurst2
Derriaghy3
Moyola3
Glebe2
TBD-
Glenavon-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Sport & Leisure2
Ards Rangers6
Crumlin Star1
Lisburn Distillery0
TBD-
Ballymena-
Portadown-
TBD-
Knockbreda1
PSNI2
Dundela4
Ballymoney1
Newry City1
Portstewart2
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Tobermore3
Limavady1
TBD-
Linfield-
1/16-finals
Crusaders6
Newington FC0
Brantwood0
Bangor FC4
Institute5
Loughgall1
Larne1
Carrick Rangers2
Glentoran2
Ards0
Newtowne FC0
Armagh3
Ballyclare3
Annagh1
Ballinamallard2
Dungannon4
Harland & Wolff2
Derriaghy0
Moyola2
Glenavon3
Cliftonville6
Ards Rangers0
Crumlin Star0
Ballymena4
Portadown2
PSNI1
Dundela2
Portstewart3
Warrenpoint3
Coleraine1
Tobermore0
Linfield2
1/8-finals
Crusaders2
Bangor FC0
Institute1
Carrick Rangers3
Glentoran4
Armagh1
Ballyclare0
Dungannon1
Harland & Wolff2
Glenavon0
Cliftonville1
Ballymena2
Portadown2
Portstewart0
Warrenpoint0
Linfield5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders4
Carrick Rangers1
Glentoran3
Dungannon0
Harland & Wolff2
Ballymena3
Portadown3
Linfield2
Semi-finals
Crusaders0
Glentoran1
Ballymena1
Portadown3
Final
Glentoran1
Portadown0