Sport Picks

Stadium Background

East Bengal vs Air India

India India

I-League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

East Bengal play Air India in the I-League 2012/2013. East Bengal are favorites here. Recently, East Bengal averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Air India averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, East Bengal won 4, Air India won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 23, 2013 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for East Bengal and 0.88 for Air India. This points to a East Bengal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
East Bengal
24%
Draws
16%
Air India
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • East Bengal picked up more points recently compared to Air India.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 25%
Air India Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal Air India
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2013 I-League
East Bengal vs Air India
1:1
Nov 10, 2012 I-League
Air India vs East Bengal
0:3
May 5, 2012 I-League
Air India vs East Bengal
0:1
Jan 2, 2012 I-League
East Bengal vs Air India
2:1
Apr 4, 2011 I-League
Air India vs East Bengal
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 59 / 100
Air India 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal Air India

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal Win (1)
Secondary Pick East Bengal & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

East Bengal attacking → ← attacking Air India

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Air India let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

East Bengal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Air India lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 23
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Churchill Brothers26167356:2255
2Pune26164653:2652
3East Bengal26138544:1847
4United SC26135855:3544
5Dempo26117845:3340
6SC Goa2698936:4135
7Salgaocar SC26961134:2933
8Mumbai26881036:4232
9ONGC26710930:4031
10Mohun Bagan26118740:3429
11Lajong266101026:4028
12AIFF XI26651525:4523
13Air India26471528:6319
14United Sikkim26291523:6315