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East Bengal vs FC Goa Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

Super Cup Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
Sun, Dec 7, 2025
0 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Singh B.
26'
Sub
Singh B. In: Singh U.
Out: Singh B.
26'
Sub
Kharbudon R. In: Tamang N.
Out: Kharbudon R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
East Bengal
35%
Draws
20%
FC Goa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • East Bengal have won more games recently than FC Goa.
  • Win probability leans East Bengal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • East Bengal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Goa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • FC Goa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 68%
FC Goa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal FC Goa
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 22 16
Draws 11 5
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.31 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 ISL
East Bengal vs FC Goa
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super Cup
East Bengal vs FC Goa
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 ISL
FC Goa vs East Bengal
1:0
Sep 27, 2024 ISL
East Bengal vs FC Goa
2:3
Mar 6, 2024 ISL
FC Goa vs East Bengal
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 95 / 100
FC Goa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal FC Goa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (36 games).

East Bengal has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Goa has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

East Bengal VS FC Goa
2.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

East Bengal

(Home)
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
16 Sept
Al Hussein
2 : 2
East Bengal
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
United SC
0 : 0
East Bengal
Page 1 of 8

FC Goa

(Away)
12 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Goa
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
01 May
Jamshedpur
2 : 0
FC Goa
24 Apr
North East United
0 : 2
FC Goa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
East Bengal 3
Minerva Punjab 1
FC Goa 2
Mumbai City 1
Final
East Bengal 0
FC Goa 1