Sport Picks
East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
India
Durand Cup Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata 
Match Events
10'
10'
Singh B.
12'
12'
Lalrindika E.
22'
22'
Lalrindika E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mohun Bagan haven't matched East Bengal's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- East Bengal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mohun Bagan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 20%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | East Bengal | Mohun Bagan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 28 |
| Wins | 24 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 2.62 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 0.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 8, 2026 IFA Shield
Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
1:0
Aug 23, 2026 Durand Cup
East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan
4:1
Jul 25, 2026 Durand Cup
East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan
0:1
May 17, 2026 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 Super Cup
Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
East Bengal Compare
Top Goalscorer Lalrindika E.
3 Goals Assists Leader Singh B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41
Mohun Bagan Compare
Top Goalscorer Singh M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
East Bengal 36 / 100
Mohun Bagan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
East Bengal Mohun Bagan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
East Bengal's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
East Bengal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Mohun Bagan let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
East Bengal VS Mohun Bagan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.17
75% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
East Bengal
(Home) 08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 East Bengal
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2 North East United
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1 Minerva Punjab
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3 East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7 East Bengal
Page 1 of 8
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2 North East United
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1 Minerva Punjab
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1 Mohammedan
07 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1 Mohun Bagan U23
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 4
Mohun Bagan
(Away) 08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 East Bengal
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
25 Jul
East Bengal
0 : 1 Mohun Bagan
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1 Mohun Bagan
19 Apr
North East United
0 : 1 Mohun Bagan
04 Apr
Jamshedpur
1 : 1 Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
SC Delhi 5
Raengdai 1
Army Red 0
East Bengal 1
Mohun Bagan 2
Jamshedpur 1
Lajong 2
North East United 5
Semi-finals
SC Delhi 0
East Bengal 1
Mohun Bagan 1
North East United 0
Final
East Bengal 4
Mohun Bagan 1
