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East Bengal vs Pune Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

I-League 2014/2015 Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Hossain M.
39'
Sub
Marcelino E. In: Ahmed I.
Out: Marcelino E.
44' Event
Omagbemi D.

AI Match Summary

Pune in this I-League 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pune.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
East Bengal
20%
Draws
34%
Pune
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Pune haven't matched East Bengal's recent run of results.
  • East Bengal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I-League 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors East Bengal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 68%
Pune Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal Pune
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.41 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 I-League
East Bengal vs Pune
1:2
Apr 11, 2015 I-League
Pune vs East Bengal
2:3
Apr 19, 2014 I-League
Pune vs East Bengal
1:2
Apr 12, 2014 I-League
East Bengal vs Pune
3:1
Jan 25, 2013 I-League
Pune vs East Bengal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Omagbemi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Pune Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haokip T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 95 / 100
Pune 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal Pune

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Pune's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: East Bengal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

East Bengal VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

East Bengal

(Home)
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1
Minerva Punjab
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
16 Sept
Al Hussein
2 : 2
East Bengal
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 7

Pune

(Away)
30 May
SC Goa
4 : 0
Pune
24 May
Lajong
0 : 1
Pune
17 May
East Bengal
1 : 2
Pune
10 May
Kalyani Bharat
1 : 0
Pune
25 Apr
Pune
0 : 2
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 20 11 6 3 33:16 39
2 Bengaluru FC 20 10 7 3 35:19 37
3 Royal Wahingdoh 20 8 6 6 27:27 30
4 East Bengal 20 8 5 7 30:28 29
5 Pune 20 8 5 7 24:26 29
6 Mumbai 20 5 9 6 22:27 24
7 Salgaocar SC 20 7 3 10 25:27 24
8 SC Goa 20 5 8 7 22:27 23
9 Lajong 20 6 5 9 34:29 23
10 Dempo 20 3 10 7 15:26 19
11 Kalyani Bharat 20 4 6 10 13:28 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Cup 2016 (Qualification - Play Offs)