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East End Lions vs Diamond Stars

Sierra Leone Sierra Leone

Premier League National Stadium, Freetown
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AI Match Summary

Diamond Stars in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diamond Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
East End Lions
44%
Draws
20%
Diamond Stars
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to East End Lions lately — more wins on the board than Diamond Stars.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
East End Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Diamond Stars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East End Lions Diamond Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
East End Lions vs Diamond Stars
3:4
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Diamond Stars vs East End Lions
1:1
Jun 1, 2025 Premier League
East End Lions vs Diamond Stars
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Premier League
Diamond Stars vs East End Lions
0:0
Jun 12, 2024 Premier League
Diamond Stars vs East End Lions
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East End Lions 36 / 100
Diamond Stars 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East End Lions Diamond Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East End Lions's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Diamond Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

East End Lions has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

East End Lions VS Diamond Stars
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

East End Lions

(Home)
16 Jul
East End Lions
2 : 0
Bullom Stars
06 Jul
Kamboi Eagles
1 : 2
East End Lions
28 Jun
East End Lions
5 : 0
Mighty Blackpool
24 Jun
East End Lions
3 : 4
Diamond Stars
13 Jun
Abacha City
2 : 2
East End Lions
Page 1 of 6

Diamond Stars

(Away)
18 Jul
Bai Bureh Warriors
2 : 3
Diamond Stars
06 Jul
Diamond Stars
4 : 0
Kallon
28 Jun
Bo Rangers
1 : 0
Diamond Stars
24 Jun
East End Lions
3 : 4
Diamond Stars
13 Jun
Diamond Stars
1 : 0
Bhantal
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bo Rangers341713439:2064
2Star Sport Academy341613545:2261
3Bai Bureh Warriors341415540:2057
4East End Lions341314752:3653
5Old Edwardians341314739:2353
6Ports Authority341213935:3049
7Kamboi Eagles341361534:3845
8Bhantal34916940:2943
9Wilberforce Strikers34916927:3043
10Kallon341271538:5243
11Diamond Stars341191434:3942
12Bullom Stars341261630:4442
13Mighty Blackpool3410111328:3741
14Wusum Stars341181524:3641
15Abacha City349121331:3839
16SLIFA349111436:4138
17Luawa34891722:4233
18Freetown City (FCFC)346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)