Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup MGM Timber Bayview Stadium

Morton

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

East Fife play Morton in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, East Fife averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Morton averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, East Fife won 3, Morton won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 13, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for East Fife and 1.06 for Morton. This points to a Morton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

East Fife

15%

Draws

47%

Morton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

East Fife picked up more points recently compared to Morton.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

East Fife Clean Sheet 22%

Morton Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	East Fife	Morton
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	6	8
Draws	5	6
Losses	17	13
Goals Scored	0.82	1.11
Goals Conceded	1.86	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 League Cup

East Fife vs Morton

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Apr 3, 2021 Scottish Cup

East Fife vs Morton

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Jan 19, 2019 Scottish Cup

East Fife vs Morton

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Aug 3, 2013 League Cup

East Fife vs Morton

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

2:6

Mar 27, 2004 League One

East Fife vs Morton

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Fife 39 / 100

Morton 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

East Fife Morton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Morton or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

East Fife attacking → ← attacking Morton

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Fife scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Morton let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

East Fife went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Morton lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 30

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50