Sport Picks

East Fife vs Morton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

League Cup MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil

East Fife

2 - 0

Morton

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Milne T.

Assist: Bah M.

33'

Austin N.

46'

Sub

Sandilands C. In: Brophy E.

Out: Sandilands C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

East Fife

15%

Draws

Morton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: East Fife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

East Fife carry the better recent record into this one.
85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
East Fife have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor East Fife, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

East Fife Clean Sheet 20%

Morton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	East Fife	Morton
Matches Played	27	27
Wins	7	3
Draws	11	5
Losses	9	19
Goals Scored	1.3	0.67
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.7
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup

East Fife vs Morton

2:0

Jul 13, 2024 League Cup

East Fife vs Morton

3:0

Apr 3, 2021 Scottish Cup

East Fife vs Morton

1:2

Jan 19, 2019 Scottish Cup

East Fife vs Morton

2:1

Aug 3, 2013 League Cup

East Fife vs Morton

2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Fife Compare

Top Goalscorer Milne T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Austin N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Morton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Fife 31 / 100

Morton 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

East Fife Morton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Fife Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 6:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morton has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Morton registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

East Fife found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

East Fife VS Morton

1.75 Goals Scored 0.5

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

East Fife

(Home)

03 Oct

East Fife

0 : 3

East Kilbride

26 Sept

East Fife

0 : 2

Clydebank FC

19 Sept

East Fife

1 : 2

Montrose

15 Sept

East Fife

4 : 1

Motherwell B

12 Sept

Queen of the South

1 : 1

East Fife

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Morton

(Away)

03 Oct

Morton

1 : 2

Raith

25 Sept

Inverness

2 : 0

Morton

19 Sept

Morton

0 : 1

Dunfermline

11 Sept

Morton

1 : 4

Livingston

05 Sept

Queen's Park

2 : 1

Morton

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