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East Fife vs St. Mirren B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Skeen Hamilton T.
Assist: Healy J.
22' Event
Farquhar J.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Hodgkiss L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-5. This leg finished 2-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
East Fife
15%
Draws
59%
St. Mirren B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Mirren B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • East Fife have won more games recently than St. Mirren B.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on St. Mirren B taking it.
  • East Fife have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Mirren B, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
East Fife Clean Sheet 10%
St. Mirren B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Fife St. Mirren B
Matches Played 28 17
Wins 7 5
Draws 12 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Challenge Cup
East Fife vs St. Mirren B
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Fife Compare

Top Goalscorer Skeen Hamilton T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ballantyne C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

St. Mirren B Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodgkiss L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stoddart B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Fife 10 / 100
St. Mirren B 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Fife St. Mirren B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Mirren B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Mirren B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 17 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

East Fife found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

East Fife has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

East Fife VS St. Mirren B
1.5 Goals Scored 2.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

East Fife

(Home)
10 Oct
Cove Rangers
1 : 1
East Fife
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
East Kilbride
26 Sept
East Fife
0 : 2
Clydebank FC
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1
Motherwell B
Page 1 of 6

St. Mirren B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4
St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Clydebank FC
2 : 1
St. Mirren B
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
St. Mirren B
25 Aug
East Fife
2 : 5
St. Mirren B
11 Aug
Clyde
1 : 4
St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)