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East Kilbride vs Alloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

East Kilbride host Alloa in the League One. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: East Kilbride at 2.69 goals for, 1.62 against; Alloa at 1.43 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor East Kilbride slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.50) point toward East Kilbride. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
East Kilbride
30%
Draws
23%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: East Kilbride

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • East Kilbride have won more games recently than Alloa.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on East Kilbride taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 16%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Kilbride Alloa
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.69 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League One
Alloa vs East Kilbride
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 48 / 100
Alloa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Kilbride Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Kilbride Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Alloa has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

East Kilbride has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Alloa
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)
17 Oct
East Kilbride
1 : 1
Montrose
13 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
10 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 2
Airdrieonians
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
East Kilbride
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
Page 1 of 6

Alloa

(Away)
24 Oct
Alloa
0 : 1
Queen of the South
17 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
Alloa
13 Oct
Annan
0 : 0
Alloa
10 Oct
Alloa
0 : 3
Hamilton
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 12 10 2 0 43:7 32
2 Hamilton 12 10 2 0 26:5 32
3 Montrose 12 6 1 5 17:20 19
4 East Kilbride 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
5 Airdrieonians 12 3 4 5 10:19 13
6 Queen of the South 12 4 1 7 13:34 13
7 Alloa 12 3 3 6 12:14 12
8 Peterhead 12 3 1 8 9:20 10
9 East Fife 12 1 6 5 9:16 9
10 Cove Rangers 11 1 3 7 9:18 6
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)