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East Kilbride vs Queen of the South - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
East Kilbride Logo

East Kilbride

5 - 1
FT
Queen of the South Logo

Queen of the South

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
McGuffie C.
(Penalty)
17'
Sub
Kyle A. In: Calder O.
Out: Kyle A.
24' Event
McGuffie C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

East Kilbride in this League One matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored East Kilbride.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
East Kilbride
30%
Draws
39%
Queen of the South
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Queen of the South

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • East Kilbride have won more games recently than Queen of the South.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 14%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Kilbride Queen of the South
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.59 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 League One
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
5:1
Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
3:1
Jul 23, 2024 League Cup
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
1:3
Jun 24, 2023 Club Friendly
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
1:1
Jul 18, 2017 League Cup
Queen of the South vs East Kilbride
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Kilbride Compare

Top Goalscorer Gray F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McGuffie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Stott J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 31 / 100
Queen of the South 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Kilbride Queen of the South

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Queen of the South has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

East Kilbride went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Queen of the South
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)
10 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 2
Airdrieonians
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
East Kilbride
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3
Celtic B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
Page 1 of 6

Queen of the South

(Away)
10 Oct
Peterhead
0 : 1
Queen of the South
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2
Rangers B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 9 8 1 0 31:5 25
2 Hamilton 9 8 1 0 21:2 25
3 East Kilbride 10 5 2 3 19:14 17
4 Montrose 10 5 0 5 13:19 15
5 Airdrieonians 10 3 4 3 9:13 13
6 Queen of the South 10 3 1 6 11:27 10
7 East Fife 10 1 6 3 8:11 9
8 Alloa 10 2 3 5 9:13 9
9 Peterhead 10 2 1 7 7:17 7
10 Cove Rangers 10 1 3 6 9:16 6
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)