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East Kilbride vs Queen of the South

Scotland Scotland

League One K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
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AI Match Summary

East Kilbride in this League One matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored East Kilbride.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
East Kilbride
11%
Draws
9%
Queen of the South
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: East Kilbride

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • East Kilbride have won more games recently than Queen of the South.
  • Model gives East Kilbride a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 13%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Kilbride Queen of the South
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 3.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
3:1
Jul 23, 2024 League Cup
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
1:3
Jun 24, 2023 Club Friendly
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
1:1
Jul 18, 2017 League Cup
Queen of the South vs East Kilbride
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 75 / 100
Queen of the South 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Kilbride Queen of the South

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Queen of the South has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

East Kilbride went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Queen of the South
3.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)
21 Jul
St. Mirren
4 : 3
East Kilbride
18 Jul
East Kilbride
5 : 3
Dumbarton
14 Jul
Cove Rangers
3 : 2
East Kilbride
11 Jul
East Kilbride
3 : 0
Dunfermline
07 Jul
East Kilbride
4 : 4
St. Mirren B
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Queen of the South

(Away)
25 Jul
Queen's Park
3 : 1
Queen of the South
22 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 4
Aberdeen
18 Jul
Brora Rangers
0 : 3
Queen of the South
11 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2
Kelty Hearts
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2
Crusaders
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hamilton00000:00
2Queen of the South00000:00
3Airdrieonians00000:00
4Alloa00000:00
5Peterhead00000:00
6Ross County00000:00
7East Fife00000:00
8Montrose00000:00
9Cove Rangers00000:00
10East Kilbride00000:00
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)