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East Stirlingshire vs Tranent FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Girdwood H.
Assist: Thomson C.
13' Event
Girdwood H.
Assist: Murray R.
62'
Tapping C.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between East Stirlingshire and Tranent FC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tranent FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
East Stirlingshire
20%
Draws
80%
Tranent FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tranent FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • East Stirlingshire haven't matched Tranent FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tranent FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tranent FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
East Stirlingshire Clean Sheet 10%
Tranent FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Stirlingshire Tranent FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 19
Draws 2 6
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.45 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Lowland League
East Stirlingshire vs Tranent FC
0:3
Oct 15, 2025 Lowland League
East Stirlingshire vs Tranent FC
2:4
Sep 2, 2025 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs East Stirlingshire
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Lowland League
East Stirlingshire vs Tranent FC
3:1
Aug 24, 2024 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs East Stirlingshire
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Stirlingshire Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tranent FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Girdwood H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Daramola T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Stirlingshire 10 / 100
Tranent FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Stirlingshire Tranent FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tranent FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Tranent FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

East Stirlingshire's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

East Stirlingshire VS Tranent FC
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

East Stirlingshire

(Home)
03 Oct
Bonnyton Thistle
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
26 Sept
East Stirlingshire
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
12 Sept
East Stirlingshire
2 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
Page 1 of 6

Tranent FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Broxburn Athletic
1 : 1
Tranent FC
03 Oct
Tranent FC
3 : 1
Turriff United
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)