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East Thurrock Utd vs Horsham FC

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Onokwai C.
45' Event
Dsane E.
60' Event
Kavanagh T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2021/2022 game between East Thurrock Utd and Horsham FC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horsham FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
East Thurrock Utd
44%
Draws
20%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Horsham FC come out ahead of East Thurrock Utd on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
East Thurrock Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Thurrock Utd Horsham FC
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 9 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
East Thurrock Utd vs Horsham FC
2:3
Dec 11, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Horsham FC vs East Thurrock Utd
3:1
Apr 3, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Horsham FC vs East Thurrock Utd
0:0
Oct 20, 2020 Isthmian League Premier Division
East Thurrock Utd vs Horsham FC
3:2
Mar 28, 2020 Isthmian League Premier Division
East Thurrock Utd vs Horsham FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Thurrock Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Onokwai C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wyss B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Horsham FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dsane E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Thurrock Utd 36 / 100
Horsham FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Thurrock Utd Horsham FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Horsham FC conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

East Thurrock Utd's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: East Thurrock Utd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Horsham FC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC423147100:4597
2Stortford422512589:3387
3Enfield Town422661091:5784
4Hornchurch422561189:4281
5Cheshunt4222101071:4076
6Folkestone4220121085:6272
7Lewes4220101289:6370
8Margate421981560:6265
9Bognor Regis4215141362:5859
10Kingstonian421781768:7159
11Horsham FC421691766:5857
12Carshalton4215121565:5757
13Potters421652154:7453
14Corinthian-Casuals4213131651:5852
15Wingate & Finchley4213101960:7449
16Bowers & Pitsea421292154:7245
17Haringey Borough429151857:8142
18Brightlingsea421162544:9239
19Cray Wanderers421092364:8536
20Leatherhead42992443:8336
21East Thurrock Utd42982544:9835
22Merstham421032943:8433