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Eastern AA vs HK U23

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2023/2024
Eastern AA Logo

Eastern AA

2 - 2
FT
HK U23 Logo

HK U23

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Eastern AA
15%
Draws
28%
HK U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern AA come out ahead of HK U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Eastern AA a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Eastern AA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Eastern AA here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 13%
HK U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern AA HK U23
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.76 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.45 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Premier League
HK U23 vs Eastern AA
0:6
Jan 21, 2024 Sapling Cup
HK U23 vs Eastern AA
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Sapling Cup
Eastern AA vs HK U23
2:2
Aug 20, 2023 Premier League
Eastern AA vs HK U23
3:0
Feb 19, 2023 Premier League
Eastern AA vs HK U23
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern AA 84 / 100
HK U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern AA HK U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern AA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern AA's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

HK U23 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: HK U23 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eastern AA VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern AA

(Home)
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
Page 1 of 7

HK U23

(Away)
26 May
HK U23
2 : 4
Tai Po
19 May
North District
0 : 1
HK U23
05 May
Hong Kong Rangers
5 : 0
HK U23
28 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Kitchee
21 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Eastern AA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 10 6 4 0 25:10 22
2 Tai Po 10 6 1 3 19:13 19
3 Eastern AA 10 4 5 1 25:14 17
4 Hong Kong FC 10 3 3 4 19:23 12
5 Sham Shui Po 10 2 1 7 15:33 7
6 HK U23 10 1 2 7 11:21 5
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 5 1 2 26:14 16
2 Hong Kong Rangers 8 4 3 1 22:18 15
3 North District 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
4 Resources Capital 8 1 2 5 10:24 5
5 Lee Man Warriors 8 1 2 5 12:17 5
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)