Sport Picks
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
New Zealand
National League 
Match Events
27'
27'
Osmancik P.
53'
53'
Watson R.
64'
64'
Echague H.
AI Match Summary
Auckland City in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Eastern Suburbs haven't matched Auckland City's recent run of results.
- Model gives Auckland City a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Auckland City have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Auckland City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 44 |
| Wins | 12 | 30 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.95 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City
2:4
Oct 27, 2024 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City
0:3
Oct 22, 2023 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City
1:2
Sep 11, 2022 Chatham Cup
Auckland City vs Eastern Suburbs
1:0
Mar 14, 2021 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Eastern Suburbs
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Top Goalscorer Echague H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Contratti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Auckland City Compare
Top Goalscorer Osmancik P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Watson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
Auckland City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eastern Suburbs Auckland City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Auckland City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Eastern Suburbs's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Auckland City has conceded goals in 68% of their last 44 outings.
Eastern Suburbs went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Eastern Suburbs VS Auckland City
1 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Eastern Suburbs
(Home) 03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4 Auckland City
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4 Auckland City
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
10 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 2 Birkenhead
27 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 3 Auckland City
Page 1 of 3
Auckland City
(Away) 03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4 Auckland City
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0 Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1 Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3 Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1 Auckland City
Page 1 of 9
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4 Auckland City
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1 Auckland City
10 Aug
Central Coast
1 : 2 Auckland City
25 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 2 Auckland City
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Auckland City
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miramar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cashmere Technical | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Auckland United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Auckland City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 5 | Wellington Olympic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Ferrymead Bays | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Birkenhead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 8 | Auckland FC 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 1 |
| 9 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 10 | Napier City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 11 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:12 | 1 |
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)
