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Eastern Suburbs vs Mangere United

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Eastern Suburbs advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Eastern Suburbs
15%
Draws
53%
Mangere United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mangere United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern Suburbs come out ahead of Mangere United on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Eastern Suburbs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern Suburbs, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 20%
Mangere United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs Mangere United
Matches Played 30 3
Wins 13 2
Draws 5 0
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.73 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2015 Chatham Cup
Eastern Suburbs vs Mangere United
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs 31 / 100
Mangere United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs Mangere United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Suburbs found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Mangere United has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Eastern Suburbs went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs

(Home)
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

Mangere United

(Away)
29 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
4 : 0
Mangere United
09 Aug
Dunedin
1 : 2
Mangere United
12 Jul
Mangere United
3 : 1
Papakura City

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cashmere Technical 3
Coastal Spirit 1
Tauranga 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Dunedin 6
Mosgiel 1
Mangere United 3
Papakura City 1
Birkenhead 2
East Coast 0
Central United 2
Three Kings 0
Wairarapa United 2
Western Suburbs 7
Wellington Olympic 3
Napier City 4
Quarter-finals
Cashmere Technical 1
Eastern Suburbs 2
Dunedin 1
Mangere United 2
Birkenhead 3
Central United 0
Western Suburbs 0
Napier City 3
Semi-finals
Eastern Suburbs 4
Mangere United 0
Birkenhead 1
Napier City 2
Final
Eastern Suburbs 2
Napier City 1