Sport Picks
Eastern Suburbs vs Team Wellington
New Zealand
Football Championship 
Match Events
34'
34'
Barcia M.
45'
45'
Thurston A.
45'
45'
Thomas A.
AI Match Summary
The Football Championship game between Eastern Suburbs and Team Wellington finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Team Wellington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Eastern Suburbs haven't matched Team Wellington's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Team Wellington's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 20%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Team Wellington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.10 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2021 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Eastern Suburbs
7:0
Dec 13, 2020 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Team Wellington
1:1
Mar 1, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Eastern Suburbs
4:1
Dec 8, 2019 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Team Wellington
2:3
Mar 31, 2019 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Team Wellington
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Top Goalscorer Thurston A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05
Team Wellington Compare
Top Goalscorer Barcia M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
Team Wellington 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eastern Suburbs Team Wellington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Eastern Suburbs found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (40 games).
Defensive concern: Team Wellington conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Eastern Suburbs has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Eastern Suburbs VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Eastern Suburbs
(Home) 16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 8
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
10 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 2 Birkenhead
27 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 3 Auckland City
20 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 1 Western Springs
Page 1 of 4
Team Wellington
(Away) 21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4 Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1 Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2 Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2 Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4 Team Wellington
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2 Team Wellington
07 Feb
Auckland City
3 : 1 Team Wellington
17 Jan
Hawke s Bay
2 : 2 Team Wellington
10 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1 Team Wellington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Team Wellington | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 35:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Hamilton | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:23 | 19 |
| 5 | Waitakere United | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 6 | Canterbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 7 | Hawke s Bay | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:37 | 10 |
Promotion - Football Championship (Play Offs)
