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Eastern Suburbs vs Western Springs

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ramsay O.
(Penalty)
43'
Atkinson D.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2024 game between Eastern Suburbs and Western Springs finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Springs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Eastern Suburbs
20%
Draws
38%
Western Springs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eastern Suburbs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Western Springs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Eastern Suburbs's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular National League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Western Springs Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs Western Springs
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 1
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.33 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Western Springs
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs 40 / 100
Western Springs 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs Western Springs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Suburbs's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Western Springs has conceded goals in 78% of their last 23 outings.

Away concern: Western Springs has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs VS Western Springs
1.33 Goals Scored 2.63
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs

(Home)
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

Western Springs

(Away)
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3
Auckland City
23 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 0
Western Springs
09 Nov
Western Springs
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
01 Nov
Miramar
1 : 2
Western Springs
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Birkenhead962123:1620
2Auckland City961220:1019
3Western Springs960325:1618
4Napier City952221:1417
5Wellington Phoenix 2941416:1913
6Wellington Olympic932417:1511
7Coastal Spirit932418:2011
8Cashmere Technical923416:189
9Eastern Suburbs91268:175
10Western Suburbs91179:284
Promotion - National League 2024 (Grand Final)