Sport Picks
Eastern Suburbs W vs Ellerslie W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
New Zealand
Kate Sheppard Cup Women 
Match Events
29'
29'
Nishizono Y.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Martin S.
47'
47'
Ollington M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 6-0. The second leg ended 6-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern Suburbs W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Eastern Suburbs W come out ahead of Ellerslie W on wins alone.
- Eastern Suburbs W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Eastern Suburbs W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ellerslie W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet 20%
Ellerslie W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs W | Ellerslie W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 11 |
| Wins | 18 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.93 | 0.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Ellerslie W
6:0
Nov 12, 2023 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Ellerslie W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eastern Suburbs W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ollington M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Martin S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75
Ellerslie W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eastern Suburbs W 85 / 100
Ellerslie W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eastern Suburbs W Ellerslie W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ellerslie W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 11 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Eastern Suburbs W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Eastern Suburbs W scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Eastern Suburbs W VS Ellerslie W
3.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Eastern Suburbs W
(Home) 04 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
26 Sept
West Coast Rangers W
0 : 4 Eastern Suburbs W
05 Sept
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 1 Cashmere Technical W
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 0 Ellerslie W
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
05 Sept
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 1 Cashmere Technical W
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 0 Ellerslie W
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
23 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0 Petone W
Page 1 of 3
Ellerslie W
(Away) 16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 0 Ellerslie W
04 Jul
Ellerslie W
2 : 1 Western Springs W
19 Nov
Southern United W
3 : 0 Ellerslie W
12 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
0 : 1 Ellerslie W
04 Nov
Ellerslie W
0 : 1 Central Football W
Page 1 of 3
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 0 Ellerslie W
19 Nov
Southern United W
3 : 0 Ellerslie W
12 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
0 : 1 Ellerslie W
28 Oct
Waterside Karori W
3 : 0 Ellerslie W
14 Oct
Canterbury United W
3 : 0 Ellerslie W
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Eastern Suburbs W 1
Auckland United W 0
Ellerslie W 2
Western Springs W 1
Dunedin City Royals W 1
Cashmere Technical W 2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 4
Waterside Karori W 0
Semi-finals
Eastern Suburbs W 6
Ellerslie W 0
Cashmere Technical W 2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 1
Final
Eastern Suburbs W 3
Cashmere Technical W 1
