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Eastern Suburbs W vs Petone W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
O'Brien T.
59' Event
O'Brien T.
66' Event
Findlay E.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Eastern Suburbs W and Petone W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern Suburbs W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Eastern Suburbs W
6%
Draws
4%
Petone W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eastern Suburbs W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern Suburbs W come out ahead of Petone W on wins alone.
  • Eastern Suburbs W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet 20%
Petone W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs W Petone W
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 18 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 3.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Petone W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs W Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Brien T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Findlay E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Petone W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs W 85 / 100
Petone W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs W Petone W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Suburbs W's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Petone W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 9 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Eastern Suburbs W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs W VS Petone W
3.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs W

(Home)
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
23 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Petone W
14 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0
Southern United W
Page 1 of 7

Petone W

(Away)
23 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Petone W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Petone W
0 : 3
Auckland United W
22 Oct
Central Football W
0 : 3
Petone W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971131:322
2Eastern Suburbs W962130:620
3Wellington United W961239:1419
4West Coast Rangers W952218:717
5Southern United W941420:1513
6Western Springs W940531:1712
7Wellington Phoenix 2 W932419:2411
8Canterbury United W931517:3210
9Petone W92076:246
10Central Football W90090:690
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)