Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eastern Suburbs W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Nasau C.
44' Event
Nathan R.
47' Event
Neuefeind V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Eastern Suburbs W and Wellington Phoenix 2 W finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern Suburbs W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Eastern Suburbs W
11%
Draws
9%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Eastern Suburbs W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Eastern Suburbs W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Eastern Suburbs W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet 68%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs W Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 3.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6:1
Oct 19, 2024 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Eastern Suburbs W
0:5
Oct 7, 2023 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Eastern Suburbs W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nishizono Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nasau C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Wellington Phoenix 2 W Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Brien P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs W 86 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs W Wellington Phoenix 2 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Phoenix 2 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Eastern Suburbs W's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Eastern Suburbs W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs W VS Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs W

(Home)
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
23 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Petone W
14 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0
Southern United W
Page 1 of 7

Wellington Phoenix 2 W

(Away)
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2
Western Springs W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0
Central Football W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971131:322
2Eastern Suburbs W962130:620
3Wellington United W961239:1419
4West Coast Rangers W952218:717
5Southern United W941420:1513
6Western Springs W940531:1712
7Wellington Phoenix 2 W932419:2411
8Canterbury United W931517:3210
9Petone W92076:246
10Central Football W90090:690
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)