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Eastern Suburbs W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
McCann E.
4' Event
McPhie A.
74' Event
McCann E.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Eastern Suburbs W and Wellington Phoenix 2 W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern Suburbs W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Eastern Suburbs W
15%
Draws
27%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern Suburbs W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Eastern Suburbs W a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Eastern Suburbs W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet 16%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs W Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 20 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 3.03 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6:1
Oct 19, 2024 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Eastern Suburbs W
0:5
Oct 7, 2023 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Eastern Suburbs W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs W Compare

Top Goalscorer McCann E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McPhie A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Wellington Phoenix 2 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs W 84 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs W Wellington Phoenix 2 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Phoenix 2 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Eastern Suburbs W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Eastern Suburbs W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs W VS Wellington Phoenix 2 W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs W

(Home)
04 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
26 Sept
West Coast Rangers W
0 : 4
Eastern Suburbs W
05 Sept
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 1
Cashmere Technical W
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 0
Ellerslie W
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
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Wellington Phoenix 2 W

(Away)
04 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1
Canterbury United W
15 Aug
Cashmere Technical W
2 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)