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Eastern United vs Adelaide Atletico

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Koyanagi R.
59' Event
Francesca D.
60' Event
Dawber D.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Eastern United and Adelaide Atletico finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Eastern United
15%
Draws
42%
Adelaide Atletico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Eastern United haven't matched Adelaide Atletico's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Eastern United Clean Sheet 19%
Adelaide Atletico Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern United Adelaide Atletico
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 SA State League
Eastern United vs Adelaide Atletico
4:2
May 16, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Eastern United
5:0
May 27, 2023 SA State League
Eastern United vs Adelaide Atletico
3:2
Mar 4, 2023 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Eastern United
3:3
Jun 5, 2022 SA State League
Eastern United vs Adelaide Atletico
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern United Compare

Top Goalscorer Koyanagi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dawber D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Adelaide Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Francesca D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martini I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern United 31 / 100
Adelaide Atletico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern United Adelaide Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Eastern United scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Adelaide Atletico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Adelaide Atletico registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern United VS Adelaide Atletico
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern United

(Home)
15 Aug
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Eastern United
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2
Adelaide Atletico
01 Aug
Fulham United
1 : 2
Eastern United
24 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 3
Salisbury United
18 Jul
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3 : 0
Eastern United
Page 1 of 6

Adelaide Atletico

(Away)
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1
Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3
Adelaide Atletico
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2
Adelaide Atletico
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
25 Jul
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)