Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eastleigh vs Gateshead

England England

National League Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Robinson J.
13' Event
Sidwell H.
Assist: Dickov M.
46'
Sub
Lavery T. In: Newton T.
Out: Lavery T.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Eastleigh and Gateshead finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastleigh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Eastleigh
15%
Draws
28%
Gateshead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastleigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastleigh haven't matched Gateshead's recent run of results.
  • Eastleigh are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 16%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastleigh Gateshead
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League
Eastleigh vs Gateshead
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Eastleigh
1:3
Aug 16, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs Gateshead
0:2
Feb 25, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs Gateshead
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 National League
Gateshead vs Eastleigh
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastleigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidwell H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lundstram J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gateshead Compare

Top Goalscorer Boatswain A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastleigh 75 / 100
Gateshead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastleigh Gateshead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastleigh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastleigh scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Gateshead conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Gateshead has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eastleigh VS Gateshead
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastleigh

(Home)
22 Aug
Eastleigh
3 : 2
Scunthorpe
15 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Eastleigh
08 Aug
Eastleigh
2 : 1
Gateshead
01 Aug
Farnham
1 : 0
Eastleigh
25 Jul
Eastleigh
0 : 1
Crawley Town
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Gateshead

(Away)
22 Aug
Yeovil
3 : 0
Gateshead
18 Aug
Gateshead
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
15 Aug
Gateshead
2 : 0
Woking
08 Aug
Eastleigh
2 : 1
Gateshead
05 Aug
Consett
6 : 1
Gateshead
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Hornchurch 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Sutton 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Southend 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
5 Hartlepool 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 Forest Green 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
7 Boreham Wood 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
8 AFC Fylde 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
9 Gateshead 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
10 Boston United 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Worthing FC 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
12 Eastleigh 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Aldershot 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14 Kidderminster 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
15 Yeovil 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
16 Tamworth 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
17 Carlisle 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
18 Scunthorpe 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
19 Wealdstone 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
20 Halifax 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Altrincham 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
22 Barrow 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
23 Solihull Moors 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
24 Woking 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)