Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Omochere P.
Assist: Colclough R.
32'
32'
Lundstram J.
44'
44'
Dobson-Ventura T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southend
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Southend have won more games recently than Eastleigh.
- Model gives Southend a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 10%
Southend Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eastleigh | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 30, 2026 National League
Eastleigh vs Southend
1:1
Jan 20, 2026 National League
Southend vs Eastleigh
4:1
Sep 24, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs Southend
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs Southend
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 FA Cup
Eastleigh vs Southend
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eastleigh Compare
Top Goalscorer Eweka T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Southend Compare
Top Goalscorer Omochere P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eastleigh 10 / 100
Southend 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eastleigh Southend
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southend Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southend's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Eastleigh found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Eastleigh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Eastleigh VS Southend
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Eastleigh
(Home) 10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0 Eastleigh
03 Oct
Eastleigh
1 : 3 Woking
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Southend
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Eastleigh
1 : 3 Woking
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Southend
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
12 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Boreham Wood
31 Aug
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Aldershot
Page 1 of 3
Southend
(Away) 10 Oct
Boston United
1 : 2 Southend
03 Oct
Southend
3 : 1 AFC Fylde
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Southend
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4 Barrow
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Boston United
1 : 2 Southend
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Southend
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1 Southend
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34:13 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31:19 | 27 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27:18 | 24 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20:19 | 24 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | 23 |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 21 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 15:19 | 21 |
| 10 | Halifax | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Kidderminster | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 12 | Aldershot | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 18 |
| 13 | Sutton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23:20 | 17 |
| 15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:22 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:30 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 21 | Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:23 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13:35 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8:31 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
