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Stadium Background

Eastleigh vs Tamworth

England England

National League 2025/2026 Silverlake Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eastleigh play Tamworth in the National League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Eastleigh averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Tamworth averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Eastleigh won 1, Tamworth won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Eastleigh and 1.88 for Tamworth. This points to a Tamworth double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Eastleigh
17%
Draws
70%
Tamworth
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tamworth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Tamworth has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Eastleigh.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Tamworth.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 10%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastleigh Tamworth
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National League
Eastleigh vs Tamworth
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League
Tamworth vs Eastleigh
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 National League
Tamworth vs Eastleigh
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 National League
Eastleigh vs Tamworth
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastleigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tamworth Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynch O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastleigh 14 / 100
Tamworth 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastleigh Tamworth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastleigh scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Tamworth let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Eastleigh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tamworth lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastleigh VS Tamworth
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1York City463394114:41108
2Rochdale46337688:41106
3Carlisle46298987:5195
4Boreham Wood462791095:5890
5Scunthorpe4623131077:6282
6Southend4623121183:4781
7Forest Green4623121182:5281
8Halifax4620101669:6670
9Hartlepool4618141454:5968
10Woking4616151569:5463
11Tamworth4617111863:7162
12Boston United4615141763:6759
13Altrincham461762355:6557
14Solihull Moors4614141871:7256
15Wealdstone4615112067:7456
16Yeovil461562548:6851
17Eastleigh4613112257:8050
18Gateshead461482454:9050
19Sutton4611142159:7947
20Aldershot461372669:8746
21Brackley4610122440:7542
22Morecambe469112666:10338
23Braintree468122638:7636
24Truro468102842:7234