Sport Picks
Ebbsfleet vs AFC Totton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
59'
59'
Appiah K.
61'
61'
Ogunleye D.
68'
68'
Ogunleye D.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Ebbsfleet and AFC Totton finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ebbsfleet.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ebbsfleet
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- AFC Totton haven't matched Ebbsfleet's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ebbsfleet's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ebbsfleet have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Totton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ebbsfleet | AFC Totton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 13, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs AFC Totton
5:0
Feb 14, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs AFC Totton
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 National League South
AFC Totton vs Ebbsfleet
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ebbsfleet Compare
Top Goalscorer Ogunleye D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Appiah K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
AFC Totton Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ebbsfleet 85 / 100
AFC Totton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ebbsfleet AFC Totton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ebbsfleet found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: AFC Totton conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Ebbsfleet went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ebbsfleet VS AFC Totton
2.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ebbsfleet
(Home) 24 Oct
Ebbsfleet
4 : 0 Maidenhead
20 Oct
Ebbsfleet
2 : 2 Horsham FC
17 Oct
Ebbsfleet
6 : 1 Weston-super-Mare
13 Oct
Ebbsfleet
5 : 0 AFC Totton
10 Oct
Hampton & Richmond
0 : 2 Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Ebbsfleet
4 : 0 Maidenhead
20 Oct
Ebbsfleet
2 : 2 Horsham FC
17 Oct
Ebbsfleet
6 : 1 Weston-super-Mare
13 Oct
Ebbsfleet
5 : 0 AFC Totton
06 Oct
Ebbsfleet
1 : 0 Folkestone
Page 1 of 3
AFC Totton
(Away) 24 Oct
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3 AFC Totton
17 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 1 AFC Totton
13 Oct
Ebbsfleet
5 : 0 AFC Totton
10 Oct
AFC Totton
0 : 1 Walton & Hersham
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0 AFC Totton
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3 AFC Totton
17 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 1 AFC Totton
13 Oct
Ebbsfleet
5 : 0 AFC Totton
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0 AFC Totton
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1 AFC Totton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 26 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 26:6 | 25 |
| 3 | Truro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Dagenham & Red. | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 23 |
| 5 | Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Billericay | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25:14 | 21 |
| 7 | Tonbridge | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 21 |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 26:18 | 20 |
| 9 | Farnham | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Folkestone | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:14 | 19 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 13 | Horsham FC | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 14 | Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 17:11 | 15 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:14 | 14 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:18 | 13 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:24 | 13 |
| 20 | Chesham | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16:26 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18:33 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13:34 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
