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Ebbsfleet vs AFC Totton

England England

National League South Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet host AFC Totton in the National League South. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. AFC Totton have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Ebbsfleet have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, Ebbsfleet have won 2 to AFC Totton's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.81, favoring Ebbsfleet. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ebbsfleet
30%
Draws
23%
AFC Totton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ebbsfleet haven't matched AFC Totton's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ebbsfleet's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ebbsfleet have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Totton Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet AFC Totton
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs AFC Totton
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs AFC Totton
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 National League South
AFC Totton vs Ebbsfleet
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 67 / 100
AFC Totton 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet AFC Totton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (24 games).

Defensive concern: AFC Totton conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ebbsfleet went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS AFC Totton
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 2
Ebbsfleet
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 5

AFC Totton

(Away)
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1
AFC Totton
05 Sept
AFC Totton
4 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
31 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1
AFC Totton
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4
Chesham
18 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 3
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 8 5 1 2 9:6 16
3 Weston-super-Mare 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
4 Tonbridge 8 4 1 3 17:8 13
5 Truro 6 4 1 1 10:2 13
6 Folkestone 7 3 3 1 14:7 12
7 Dorking Wanderers 8 3 3 2 16:11 12
8 Torquay 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
9 Salisbury 7 3 2 2 14:6 11
10 Billericay 7 3 2 2 13:10 11
11 Dover Ath. 8 3 2 3 14:16 11
12 Horsham FC 7 2 4 1 8:6 10
13 Farnham 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
14 AFC Totton 7 3 1 3 8:12 10
15 Farnborough 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
16 Chelmsford 7 1 6 0 8:7 9
17 Hemel Hempstead 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
18 Maidenhead 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
19 Chesham 8 2 1 5 12:14 7
20 Braintree 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
21 Hampton & Richmond 8 2 1 5 10:22 7
22 Ebbsfleet 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
23 Slough Town 7 0 0 7 8:21 0
24 Walton & Hersham 7 0 0 7 3:23 0
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)