Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026 Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet

Ebbsfleet

3 - 1

Braintree

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Chapman B.

26'

Emmanuel-Thomas J.

(Penalty)

56'

Peake L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet in this FA Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Ebbsfleet

20%

Draws

38%

Braintree

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Ebbsfleet lately — more wins on the board than Braintree.
42% — that's where the model lands on Ebbsfleet taking it.
Ebbsfleet have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ebbsfleet, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 12%

Braintree Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ebbsfleet	Braintree
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	11	4
Draws	8	7
Losses	11	18
Goals Scored	1.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.75	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 FA Trophy

Ebbsfleet vs Braintree

3:1

Jan 25, 2025 National League

Ebbsfleet vs Braintree

0:1

Aug 26, 2024 National League

Braintree vs Ebbsfleet

0:0

Apr 10, 2023 National League South

Braintree vs Ebbsfleet

3:2

Sep 13, 2022 National League South

Ebbsfleet vs Braintree

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebbsfleet Compare

Top Goalscorer Chapman B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Peake L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Braintree Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 40 / 100

Braintree 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ebbsfleet Braintree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Braintree's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Ebbsfleet has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Braintree

1.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)

31 Jul

Ebbsfleet

1 : 2

Gillingham

28 Jul

Cray Valley

2 : 3

Ebbsfleet

24 Jul

Ebbsfleet

1 : 1

Cardiff Metropolitan University

21 Jul

Ebbsfleet

1 : 2

West Ham U21

14 Jul

Aveley

1 : 4

Ebbsfleet

Page 1 of 6

Braintree

(Away)

01 Aug

Braintree

1 : 2

Aldershot

28 Jul

Felixstowe & Walton

2 : 1

Braintree

25 Jul

Braintree

4 : 0

Colchester U21

21 Jul

Braintree

1 : 0

Woking

18 Jul

Aveley

3 : 2

Braintree

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sudbury 2

Leiston 1

TBD -

Hereford -

Radcliffe -

TBD -

Bradford PA 2

Morpeth 1

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aldershot -

Buxton -

TBD -

Southport -

Leek Town 3

Bromsgrove 0

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Basingstoke 1

Dorchester 2

Brentwood 3

Welling 0

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Chesham -

TBD -

Telford -

TBD -

Altrincham -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Torquay -

TBD -

Maidstone -

Alvechurch 1

Worcester 0

Real Bedford 3

Ashford United 2

Redditch 1

Gainsborough 2

Alfreton -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Oxford City -

TBD -

Peterborough Sports -

Chester -

TBD -

Clitheroe 4

Stockton 2

TBD -

York City -

Leatherhead 2

Canvey Island 1

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Stanway Rovers 1

Harrow Borough 2

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Horsham FC -

TBD -

Farnham 3

Bishops Cleeve 2

Wimborne 1

Portchester 0

Waltham Abbey 0

Chatham 2

Plymouth Parkway 2

Poole Town 1

TBD -

Salisbury -

Harborough 4

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

TBD -

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Carlisle -

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough -

Bath City -

TBD -

Bracknell Town 1

Banbury 0

Southend -

TBD -

Truro -

Halifax -

TBD -

United of Manchester 1

Bamber Bridge 0

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Bedford -

TBD -

Anstey Nomads 4

Stratford 0

Chorley -

TBD -

Worksop -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Spalding United 0

Corby 1

Gateshead -

TBD -

Morecambe -

Ebbsfleet -

TBD -

Sittingbourne 2

Cray Valley 1

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Billericay 0

Stortford 5

Wingate & Finchley 0

Cheshunt 1

Dagenham & Red. -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Hadley 0

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

St. Albans 0

Hanwell Town 2

Tamworth -

TBD -

Boston United -

Leamington -

TBD -

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Ilkeston 3

St Ives Town 1

TBD -

Curzon Ashton -

Marine -

TBD -

Hyde 0

Stocksbridge 3

Slough Town -

TBD -

Gloucester City 1

Havant & Waterlooville 0

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Walton & Hersham 5

Hendon 1

TBD -

Farnborough -

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Brackley -

Woking -

TBD -

Burgess Hill 1

Folkestone 4

TBD -

AFC Totton -

South Shields -

TBD -

Dunston 1

Hebburn Town 0

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Prescot Cables 2

Guiseley 1

1/64-finals

Sudbury 1

Hereford 5

Radcliffe 3

Bradford PA 2

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Spennymoor 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aldershot -

Buxton 2

Southport 3

Leek Town 1

Scarborough Athletic 0

Dover Ath. 2

Dorchester 0

Brentwood 0

Hornchurch 1

Chesham 1

Telford 2

TBD -

Altrincham -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Torquay 0

Maidstone 2

Alvechurch 2

Real Bedford 1

Gainsborough 1

Alfreton 2

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Oxford City 1

Peterborough Sports 2

Chester 0

Clitheroe 1

TBD -

York City -

Leatherhead 2

Hampton & Richmond 0

King’s Lynn 2

Harrow Borough 3

Hemel Hempstead 1

Chelmsford 0

Horsham FC 2

Farnham 0

Wimborne 0

Chatham 1

Plymouth Parkway 4

Salisbury 3

Harborough 3

Enfield Town 0

TBD -

Carlisle -

Dorking Wanderers 3

Eastbourne Borough 2

Bath City 2

Bracknell Town 1

Southend -

TBD -

Truro -

Halifax -

TBD -

United of Manchester 3

Darlington FC 2

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Bedford 0

Anstey Nomads 1

Chorley 2

Worksop 3

Kidderminster 3

Corby 0

Gateshead -

TBD -

Morecambe -

Ebbsfleet 2

Sittingbourne 1

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chippenham Town 0

Weston-super-Mare 1

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Stortford 1

Cheshunt 2

Dagenham & Red. 2

Tilbury 0

Merthyr Town 2

Hanwell Town 3

Tamworth -

TBD -

Boston United -

Leamington 2

Maidenhead 0

TBD -

Rochdale -

Ilkeston 0

Curzon Ashton 1

Marine 2

Stocksbridge 0

Slough Town 1

Gloucester City 2

Tonbridge 0

Worthing FC 4

Walton & Hersham 2

Farnborough 1

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Brackley -

Woking -

TBD -

Folkestone 1

AFC Totton 2

South Shields 6

Dunston 2

Macclesfield 1

Prescot Cables 0

1/32-finals

Hereford 2

Radcliffe 1

Solihull Moors 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh 2

Aldershot 1

Southport 3

Leek Town 1

Dover Ath. 1

Hornchurch 4

Telford 4

Altrincham 3

Yeovil 2

Maidstone 1

Alvechurch 3

Alfreton 2

Scunthorpe 5

Peterborough Sports 0

Clitheroe 2

York City 1

Leatherhead 3

Harrow Borough 2

Hemel Hempstead 0

Horsham FC 2

Chatham 3

Plymouth Parkway 0

Harborough 1

Carlisle 2

Dorking Wanderers 1

Bath City 2

Southend 4

Truro 0

Halifax 4

United of Manchester 0

Hartlepool 1

Anstey Nomads 2

Worksop 0

Kidderminster 1

Gateshead 0

Morecambe 3

Ebbsfleet 3

Braintree 1

Forest Green 4

Weston-super-Mare 0

Wealdstone 2

Cheshunt 1

Dagenham & Red. 3

Hanwell Town 1

Tamworth 2

Boston United 1

Leamington 0

Rochdale 1

Curzon Ashton 1

Marine 2

Gloucester City 4

Worthing FC 3

Walton & Hersham 4

Sutton 1

Boreham Wood 3

Brackley 4

Woking 2

AFC Totton 0

South Shields 0

Macclesfield 1

1/16-finals

Hereford 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh 0

Southport 2

Hornchurch 1

Telford 2

Yeovil 1

Alvechurch 0

Scunthorpe 3

Clitheroe 1

Leatherhead 2

Horsham FC 3

Chatham 1

Carlisle 0

Bath City 1

Southend 3

Halifax 4

Anstey Nomads 0

Kidderminster 6

Morecambe 2

Ebbsfleet 0

Forest Green 2

Wealdstone 1

Dagenham & Red. 0

Tamworth 2

Rochdale 1

Marine 2

Gloucester City 1

Walton & Hersham 1

Brackley 0

Woking 2

Macclesfield 1

1/8-finals

AFC Fylde 0

Southport 1

Telford 0

Yeovil 2

Scunthorpe 1

Horsham FC 2

Chatham 0

Southend 1

Halifax 1

Kidderminster 2

Forest Green 0

Wealdstone 3

Tamworth 0

Marine 1

Walton & Hersham 1

Woking 2

Quarter-finals

Southport 2

Yeovil 1

Horsham FC 1

Southend 2

Kidderminster 1

Wealdstone 2

Marine 1

Woking 0

Semi-finals

Southport 1

Southend 3

Wealdstone 1

Marine 0

Final

Southend 1

Wealdstone 0

Ebbsfleet vs Braintree

England

Ebbsfleet

Braintree

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Ebbsfleet Compare

Braintree Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

Braintree

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA