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Ebbsfleet vs Maidenhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet host Maidenhead in the National League South. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Ebbsfleet at 1.68 goals for, 1.21 against; Maidenhead at 1.23 for, 1.23 against. Past meetings favor Ebbsfleet slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.44 - 1.13) back Ebbsfleet to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ebbsfleet
20%
Draws
23%
Maidenhead
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ebbsfleet have won more games recently than Maidenhead.
  • Ebbsfleet are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet Maidenhead
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 FA Cup
Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet
1:3
Mar 17, 2026 National League South
Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet
2:3
Jan 31, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Maidenhead
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 National League
Ebbsfleet vs Maidenhead
0:2
Sep 24, 2024 National League
Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 67 / 100
Maidenhead 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet Maidenhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Maidenhead let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Ebbsfleet remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Maidenhead
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
10 Oct
Hampton & Richmond
0 : 2
Ebbsfleet
06 Oct
Ebbsfleet
1 : 0
Folkestone
03 Oct
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Sholing
29 Sept
Slough Town
1 : 1
Ebbsfleet
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

Maidenhead

(Away)
10 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 1
Tonbridge
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4
Maidenhead
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2
Billericay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4
Torquay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 11 7 1 3 20:12 22
2 Salisbury 11 6 3 2 20:8 21
3 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
4 Truro 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
5 Dagenham & Red. 11 6 2 3 10:7 20
6 Weston-super-Mare 11 5 3 3 19:11 18
7 Dover Ath. 11 5 3 3 18:17 18
8 Tonbridge 11 5 2 4 20:11 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 11 4 5 2 23:17 17
10 Farnham 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
11 Torquay 11 4 4 3 18:15 16
12 Ebbsfleet 7 4 3 0 9:3 15
13 Chelmsford 10 2 8 0 14:8 14
14 Hemel Hempstead 11 3 5 3 10:10 14
15 Folkestone 11 3 4 4 16:13 13
16 Maidenhead 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
17 Horsham FC 10 2 5 3 10:12 11
18 Farnborough 10 3 2 5 8:17 11
19 Chesham 11 3 1 7 16:24 10
20 AFC Totton 10 3 1 6 8:16 10
21 Braintree 11 3 1 7 18:27 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
23 Walton & Hersham 11 2 2 7 10:27 8
24 Slough Town 11 1 1 9 11:29 4
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)