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Ebedei vs Igbajo

Nigeria Nigeria

Federation Cup 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ebedei in this Federation Cup 2023 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ebedei
15%
Draws
0%
Igbajo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ebedei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ebedei have won more games recently than Igbajo.
  • Ebedei are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Ebedei have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ebedei, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Ebedei Clean Sheet 20%
Igbajo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebedei Igbajo
Matches Played 13 20
Wins 3 2
Draws 1 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.92 0.35
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2023 Federation Cup
Ebedei vs Igbajo
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebedei 76 / 100
Igbajo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebedei Igbajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebedei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Igbajo has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Igbajo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Ebedei found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (13 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Igbajo
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebedei

(Home)
10 Jun
Ebedei
2 : 1
Ikorodu United
04 Jun
Madiba
6 : 0
Ebedei
24 May
Ebedei
1 : 3
Rangers International
14 May
Ebedei
1 : 2
Ekiti United
10 May
Ebedei
4 : 0
Igbajo
Page 1 of 3

Igbajo

(Away)
08 Jun
Beyond Limits FC
7 : 0
Igbajo
31 May
Igbajo
1 : 3
Warri Wolves
24 May
Ijele
2 : 0
Igbajo
17 May
Igbajo
1 : 2
Inter Lagos
10 May
Crown FC
1 : 0
Igbajo
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Heartland FC 2
Essien Ayi 1
Ahudiya 0
Bendel 1
Standard 0
Sunshine Stars 2
EFCC FC 2
Akwa United 1
Warri Wolves 1
Shooting 0
Mighty Jets 0
Gombe 2
Osun United 1
Bendel Feeders 2
Cynosure 0
Lobi 2
Plateau United 3
Enyimba International 2
Ingas 2
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Nasarawa United 3
DMD 2
Ikorodu City 1
Kwara 3
Ebedei 4
Igbajo 0
Rangers International 2
Kano Pillars 0
Ebunuja 0
Doma United 4
Edel FC 1
Mailantarki Care 0
1/8-finals
Heartland FC 0
Bendel 1
Sunshine Stars 3
EFCC FC 2
Warri Wolves 1
Gombe 0
Bendel Feeders 1
Lobi 3
Plateau United 2
Ingas 1
Nasarawa United 0
Kwara 1
Ebedei 1
Rangers International 3
Doma United 2
Edel FC 1
Quarter-finals
Bendel 1
Sunshine Stars 0
Warri Wolves 2
Lobi 1
Plateau United 1
Kwara 0
Rangers International 1
Doma United 0
Semi-finals
Bendel 1
Warri Wolves 0
Plateau United 0
Rangers International 1
Final
Bendel 1
Rangers International 0