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EBK vs Ilves 2

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B Keski-Espoon urheilukeskus
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EBK play Ilves 2 in the Kakkonen Group B. It looks like a close match. Recently, EBK averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.62 conceded. Ilves 2 averaged 2.57 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, EBK won 1, Ilves 2 won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for EBK and 2.38 for Ilves 2. This points to a Ilves 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
EBK
26%
Draws
47%
Ilves 2
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Ilves 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • EBK picked up more points recently compared to Ilves 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76%
EBK Clean Sheet 10%
Ilves 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EBK Ilves 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 17
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.97 2.57
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves 2 vs EBK
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
EBK vs Ilves 2
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves 2 vs EBK
2:2
Jul 3, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves 2 vs EBK
3:0
Apr 29, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
EBK vs Ilves 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EBK Compare

Top Goalscorer Vettenranta Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sipi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ilves 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamminen E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halonen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EBK 26 / 100
Ilves 2 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EBK Ilves 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ilves 2 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EBK attacking → ← attacking Ilves 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EBK scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Ilves 2 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

EBK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ilves 2 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 58
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Honka1192037:829
2Abo IFK1283129:1127
3Ilves 21155128:1820
4HJS1153318:1518
5Pallo-Iirot1252521:1817
6GrIFK1143414:1715
7EPS1242622:2014
8EBK1232717:2811
9MuSa1223715:379
10NJS1201117:361