Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EBK W vs Honka W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Pitkanen E.
45' Event
Linnala L.
55' Event
Kalliovaara M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
EBK W
30%
Draws
33%
Honka W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EBK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EBK W lately — more wins on the board than Honka W.
  • Model gives EBK W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • EBK W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor EBK W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
EBK W Clean Sheet 18%
Honka W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EBK W Honka W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Honka W vs EBK W
1:1
Aug 9, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
EBK W vs Honka W
0:1
Jul 3, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Honka W vs EBK W
2:2
Jul 1, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
EBK W vs Honka W
4:1
Apr 25, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
EBK W vs Honka W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EBK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitkanen E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalliovaara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Honka W Compare

Top Goalscorer Linnala L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EBK W 41 / 100
Honka W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EBK W Honka W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EBK W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: EBK W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Honka W conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

EBK W VS Honka W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EBK W

(Home)
26 Sept
EBK W
3 : 2
JyPK W
20 Sept
Honka W
1 : 1
EBK W
11 Sept
HJS W
1 : 0
EBK W
29 Aug
EBK W
2 : 2
PK-35 Vantaa W
23 Aug
EBK W
3 : 2
VIFK Vaasa W
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Honka W

(Away)
26 Sept
Honka W
2 : 3
VIFK Vaasa W
20 Sept
Honka W
1 : 1
EBK W
11 Sept
JyPK W
0 : 3
Honka W
30 Aug
Honka W
1 : 3
HJS W
23 Aug
Honka W
2 : 1
PK-35 Vantaa W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Aland United W 4
Tampere Utd W 0
Ilves W -
TBD -
Gnistan W 1
HIFK W 0
KuPS W -
TBD -
VPS W 3
FC PaRi Palokka W 2
NuPS W 0
PK-35 Vantaa W 8
HJK U18 W 4
Kiffen W 0
TBD -
HJK W -
EPS W 3
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) W 2
Lahti W 1
EBK W 2
Loviisa W 1
Keski-Uusimaa W 0
KTP W 0
Honka W 1
Apassit W 1
TPV W 2
TBD -
HPS W -
Athene FC W 3
Hertta W 2
WFA W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 1
1/8-finals
Aland United W 2
Ilves W 1
Gnistan W 0
KuPS W 2
VPS W 4
PK-35 Vantaa W 6
HJK U18 W 1
HJK W 6
EPS W 1
EBK W 4
Loviisa W 0
Honka W 8
TPV W 0
HPS W 4
Athene FC W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 3
Quarter-finals
Aland United W 1
KuPS W 2
PK-35 Vantaa W 1
HJK W 4
EBK W 4
Honka W 1
HPS W 5
SJK-j Apollo W 1
Semi-finals
KuPS W 0
HJK W 1
EBK W 0
HPS W 4
Final
HJK W 3
HPS W 1