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Ebolitana vs A.C.D. Nardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Zugaro D.
75' Event
Skorb F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Ebolitana and A.C.D. Nardo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ebolitana
35%
Draws
25%
A.C.D. Nardo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ebolitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ebolitana haven't matched A.C.D. Nardo's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ebolitana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 20%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebolitana A.C.D. Nardo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Ebolitana vs A.C.D. Nardo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebolitana Compare

Top Goalscorer Zugaro D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Skorb F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebolitana 49 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebolitana A.C.D. Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebolitana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebolitana's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ebolitana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: A.C.D. Nardo conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ebolitana VS A.C.D. Nardo
0.86 Goals Scored 0.75
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebolitana

(Home)
04 Oct
Ischia
1 : 1
Ebolitana
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0
Melfi
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6

A.C.D. Nardo

(Away)
04 Oct
Palmese 1914
4 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)