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Ebolitana vs Martina Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ebolitana host Martina Calcio in the Serie D - Group H. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Ebolitana at 0.86 goals for, 1.38 against; Martina Calcio at 1.59 for, 1.13 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.05 vs 1.19, favoring Martina Calcio. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ebolitana
20%
Draws
48%
Martina Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Martina Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ebolitana haven't matched Martina Calcio's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Martina Calcio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 20%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebolitana Martina Calcio
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 18
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebolitana 20 / 100
Martina Calcio 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebolitana Martina Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Martina Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebolitana scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Ebolitana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Martina Calcio let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: Martina Calcio has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ebolitana VS Martina Calcio
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebolitana

(Home)
04 Oct
Ischia
1 : 1
Ebolitana
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0
Melfi
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6

Martina Calcio

(Away)
04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0
Francavilla
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0
Real Forio 2014
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)