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Ebro vs Alfaro

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Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Prat M.
25' Event
Prat M.
90' Event
Jimenez I.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Ebro and Alfaro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ebro
33%
Draws
27%
Alfaro
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfaro haven't matched Ebro's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ebro's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ebro here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ebro Clean Sheet 68%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro Alfaro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 13 5
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Alfaro
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Ebro
0:4
Aug 27, 2022 Club Friendly
Alfaro vs Ebro
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Prat M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 50 / 100
Alfaro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro Alfaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EBR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ebro scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Alfaro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Ebro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS Alfaro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
26 Apr
Utebo FC
1 : 0
Ebro
18 Apr
Eibar B
1 : 2
Ebro
11 Apr
Ebro
1 : 0
Beasain
03 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Ebro
Page 1 of 7

Alfaro

(Away)
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
Alfaro
02 Apr
Alfaro
3 : 1
Zaragoza B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)