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Ebro vs Alfaro

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Prat M.
25' Event
Prat M.
90' Event
Jimenez I.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Ebro and Alfaro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ebro
20%
Draws
29%
Alfaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfaro haven't matched Ebro's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ebro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ebro here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ebro Clean Sheet 68%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro Alfaro
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.54 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Alfaro
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Ebro
0:4
Aug 27, 2022 Club Friendly
Alfaro vs Ebro
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Prat M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 95 / 100
Alfaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro Alfaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ebro scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Alfaro has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Ebro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS Alfaro
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes
15 Aug
Huesca B
1 : 0
Ebro
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

Alfaro

(Away)
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)