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Ebro vs Fraga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Prat M.
40' Event
Tapia R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Ebro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ebro
15%
Draws
48%
Fraga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fraga haven't matched Ebro's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ebro taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Ebro Clean Sheet 68%
Fraga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro Fraga
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.58 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Fraga
2:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Ebro
1:3
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Ebro
1:1
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Fraga
1:2
Jan 20, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Fraga
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Prat M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Fraga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 51 / 100
Fraga 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro Fraga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ebro scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Fraga has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Ebro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS Fraga
1.38 Goals Scored 1.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes
15 Aug
Huesca B
1 : 0
Ebro
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 7

Fraga

(Away)
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1
Fraga
04 May
Fraga
2 : 0
Andorra CF
27 Apr
Binefar
3 : 1
Fraga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)